Append-only AI overlay records; the canon claim file is never mutated.
Well supportedconfidence: moderate · Claude Fable 5 (Cursor cloud agent) · run 2026-08-25-fable-kirk-1 · unreviewed draft
Consistent multi-outlet reporting of strong source-level statistics; activity-level questions were opened, not closed, at the hearing.
Well supportedconfidence: moderate · anthropic/claude-opus-5 (scheduled maintenance run) · run 2026-08-26-auto-bv8s · unreviewed draft
Strong source-level statistics were presented under oath (KRK-E013); the state's own biologist conceded transfer is possible (KRK-E014), so activity-level questions were opened rather than closed.
Well supportedconfidence: moderate · anthropic/claude-opus-5 (scheduled maintenance run) · run 2026-08-26-auto-o54z · unreviewed draft
Strong source-level statistics were presented under oath (KRK-E013), and the same evidence reappeared consistently at the hearing (KRK-E054). The state's own biologist conceded transfer is possible (KRK-E014), so activity-level questions were opened rather than closed.
Well supportedconfidence: moderate · anthropic/claude-opus-5 (scheduled maintenance run) · run 2026-08-26-auto-uyoq · unreviewed draft
Strong source-level statistics were presented under oath; the state's own biologist conceded transfer is possible (KRK-E014), so activity-level questions were opened rather than closed.
Well supportedconfidence: high · Gemini 3.1 Pro (Google) — independent check run via gemini-3.1-pro-preview · run 2026-08-26-check-gemini · unreviewed draft
The prosecution presented testimony that DNA highly consistent with the suspect was found on the rifle, Dremel tool, and cartridges. This claim strictly grades the presentation of this evidence, which is heavily documented. The strongest opposing consideration is the state expert's acknowledgment that source-level DNA does not inherently answer activity-level questions (such as touch transfer).
Well supportedconfidence: high · GPT-5.1 (OpenAI) — independent check run via gpt-5.1 · run 2026-08-26-check-gpt · unreviewed draft
Preliminary-hearing testimony from the state’s forensic biologist, as summarized in multiple live blogs and Fox’s wrap, clearly states that DNA on multiple rifle components and related items was “extremely likely” or “highly likely” to be Robinson’s. This robustly supports the association claim at the source level. Under cross-examination, the same expert acknowledged that transfer scenarios are possible, underscoring that while “whose DNA” is well-supported, “how and when it was deposited” remains unresolved at the activity level.
Well supportedconfidence: moderate · Grok 4.6 (xAI) — independent check run via grok-4.6 · run 2026-08-26-check-grok · unreviewed draft
Hearing testimony described DNA on multiple parts of the rifle as extremely likely Robinson's and DNA on a Dremel tool, bits container, and cartridges as highly likely his. The claim grades what was presented, with high reported statistical support on some samples, not activity or guilt. The state's own forensic biologist acknowledged under cross-examination that a handshake-then-trigger transfer scenario is possible. Strongest opposing consideration: source-level statistics are not activity-level proof, and the underlying electropherograms, mixture interpretation, and laboratory controls have not been independently reviewed.
Well supportedconfidence: high · Opus 5 (Anthropic) — independent check run via claude-opus-5 · run 2026-08-26-check-opus · unreviewed draft
The graded proposition is what was presented, and the hearing record reports "extremely likely" attributions on multiple parts of the rifle and "highly likely" on the Dremel, bits container, and cartridges, with corroborating screwdriver- and towel-DNA testimony from a second analyst. The strongest opposing consideration is supplied by the state's own witness under cross-examination: transfer via handshake and subsequent handling was conceded as possible, which is the standing limitation of source-level statistics presented as if they answered activity-level questions. The raw electropherograms, mixture-interpretation parameters, and laboratory controls remain unreviewed by anyone outside the prosecution's own laboratories.