Erebus

Cases

Each case maps one contested event: an overview you can read, a claim ladder you can audit, evidence with provenance, and the records or tests that would settle it.

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COV-001Contested public events · Scientific and intelligence dispute

The Origins of SARS-CoV-2

What event initiated sustained human transmission of SARS-CoV-2 in Wuhan in late 2019 — and why does the evidence that would settle it sit with a single custodian?

  • Well supportedHuanan market as early epicenter of the recognized outbreak
  • Provisionally supportedMarket as the site of the initial animal-to-human spillover
  • UnresolvedResearch-related incident (any variant)
  • Weakly supportedEngineered-construct origin specifically
  • ContradictedDeliberate engineering and release as a weapon
  • Provisionally supportedEarly public scientific certainty exceeded contemporaneous private belief
High research priorityassessment · contestedhuman review 0/18 claims5-model check · diverge
Abstract technical diagram on a deep blue-black field: a single sharp vertical impulse resolving into one unbroken pale trace, surrounded by many fainter parallel traces that step, break, and fade into dotted gaps marked with small crosses.
KRK-001Contested public events · Active criminal proceeding

The Killing of Charlie Kirk

Does the public evidentiary record of the September 10, 2025 killing of Charlie Kirk support the official single-shooter account — and where exactly does it stop being auditable?

  • Well supportedFatal mechanism (distant rifle shot)
  • UnresolvedPublic bullet-to-rifle identification
  • MixedPublic chain-of-custody completeness
  • Weakly supportedDevice-at-the-microphone alternative
High research priorityassessment · ratifiedhuman review 0/24 claims4-model check · diverge
Abstract technical diagram on a deep Prussian-blue field: a dense bundle of fine parallel measurement traces runs from the left edge and meets a vertical boundary line partway across, where most of them stop against small registration ticks; a few continue past it into empty space, and concentric contour rings sit at the lower left.
SEP-001Contested public events · Historical, with active civil litigation

September 11

The September 11 attacks are among the best-documented events in modern history — so which specific evidentiary disputes survive contact with the primary record, and which collapse on inspection?

  • EstablishedAl-Qaeda authorship of the attacks
  • Well supportedTwin Towers: impact, stripped fireproofing, and fire initiated collapse
  • MixedWTC 7 collapse mechanism (fire-driven Column 79 sequence)
  • ContradictedSpecific insider foreknowledge of the plot
  • ContradictedDeliberate destruction of the towers with pre-placed devices
  • EstablishedDocumented official misconduct in the aftermath
Medium research priorityassessment · ratifiedhuman review 0/24 claims5-model check · concur